Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Russia's enemy No. 1? Mystery campaign smears Obama

Russians have long blamed the US for many global problems. But what appears to be an organized and well-funded ad campaign raises the bar.

Christian Science Monitor 
Somebody is bombarding Russian social media and Moscow buildings with professionally produced messages that condemn President Obama as a murderer and a threat to world peace.
It's not an unpopular message. An opinion poll by the state-run VTsIOM agency last June found that 37 percent of respondents named the United States and Mr. Obama personally as "the main enemy of our culture and values."
Another survey conducted by the independent Levada Center in late 2014 showed that public attitudes toward Obama had shifted radically in the previous five years. Whereas 21 percent of respondents viewed him "positively" in 2009, just 2 percent did so in the later poll.
Alexei Grazhdankin, deputy director of the Levada Center, says the growing disdain for Obama in Russia is “very much the product of the current geopolitical situation" and perhaps personal disappointment with his presidency. The 2014 poll found that 67 percent of respondents thought US-Russian relations were worse under Obama than they were under former President George W. Bush.
Some of the anti-Obama sentiment clearly has a grassroots flavor. One widespread example is the "Obama is a shmoe" meme that's appeared on T-shirts, bumper stickers and, in a clearly doctored image that's swept the Russian Internet, on the runway of the Russian airbase in Syria.
But the latest wave of public Obama-bashing appears to be an organized and well-funded ad campaign. It began earlier this month with a 60-second film depicting Obama as the world's "killer No. 1" and projected on walls around the city. The same message was later emblazoned onto the front of the US embassy in green laser light. 
Then a two-minute video appeared online that purports to show groups of students standing in front of several major Russian universities and demanding that Obama be turned over to the Hague for war crimes. The video has gained over a half-million views on YouTube since it was uploaded on Feb. 11.
In the campaign’s latest stage, posters began appearing in glass display cases at bus stops across Moscow that depict the US president smoking a cigarette with the message: "Smoking kills more people than Obama, though he's killed a lot of people."
ESCALATING TENSIONS
In some ways, deteriorating Russian attitudes toward the US and its leader mirror those in the US, where Russia and President Vladimir Putin's stock has sunk to near all-time lows. One explanation for this could be that the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria, which have contributed to heated tensions between the US and Russia and revived cold war antagonisms.
Russians generally agree with the Kremlin's view that NATO has surrounded Russia with a ring of hostile military bases, that US support for Ukraine's Maidan revolution was intended to tear a historic ally out of Moscow's orbit, and that Washington has been supporting terrorism by backing rebel forces in Syria.
But personal animosity is clearly part of the mix, with some of the messages tinged with racism. Some analysts say that Obama's propensity to publicly taunt Russia – as when he derided it as a "regional power" that "doesn't make anything" and whose economy is "in tatters" – are frequently repeated in the Russian news and offend average Russians.
"If our TV is constantly telling people how bad the US and its leader are, why should it be any surprise that Russians think of Obama as enemy No. 1?" says Yuly Nisnevich, a sociologist with the Higher School of Economics in Moscow.
AN ANONYMOUS CAMPAIGN 
Although the anti-Obama posters and videos largely conform to views shared by both the Kremlin and Russian public, no one seems willing to take responsibility for them.
Officials at the universities where dozens of young people, some wearing school colors, were shown reading the anti-Obama testimonials, all insist they had nothing to do with it and that their students were not involved.
"Look, we are a government-funded institution, and such unsanctioned actions of students are not permitted," says Alexander Kozharikov, a dean at Moscow's prestigious Financial University, which is featured in the video. "After this video appeared, the deans of all our faculties gathered and began to look for these students. We've been searching for a week; these people are not students here."
Nikolai Starikov, head of the ultra-patriotic Anti-Maidan movement, which has organized public demonstrations in front of the US embassy, says he has no idea who is producing the messages. But he approves of them.
"I am personally disillusioned with Obama. When he received the Nobel Peace Prize, it was like an advance on good deeds," he says. "But we see the US going on as before, wreaking havoc around the world. The trust was not justified."
Many observers insist that the anti-Obama campaign couldn't be carried out using prominent Moscow buildings, or students filmed on major campuses, without the tacit approval of the Kremlin. But others suggest that, while some level of authority must be involved, it might actually be aimed at embarrassing Mr. Putin rather than helping him.
"The mechanisms in play here are familiar, and it's no surprise it's all being done anonymously," says Viktor Kremeniuk, deputy director of the official Institute of USA-Canada Studies in Moscow.
"I don't think the Kremlin is doing this,” he adds. “But perhaps some people close to the Kremlin are trying to create a little mood music of their own? Putin talks regularly with Obama, so we have to ask whether this is being done by his wish, or against it?"

Signs grow of new Western urgency to stop Islamic State in Libya

Reuters 
A view shows damage at the scene after an airstrike by U.S. warplanes against Islamic State in Sabratha
.
View photo
A view shows damage at the scene after an airstrike by U.S. warplanes against Islamic State in Sabratha, …
By Aidan Lewis
WADI BEY, Libya (Reuters) - An hour's drive from the Libyan city of Sirte, a few dozen troops man outposts along a desert road. They are hoping the West will soon be giving them more help to fight a common enemy: Islamic State.
Armed with little more than gun-mounted pick-up trucks, they are a last line of defense against the Sunni Islamist group which controls swathes of Syria and Iraq and which has now taken advantage of chaos in the north African state to seize territory there. Sirte is its stronghold.
"They're getting stronger because no one is fighting them," said Misrata forces commander Mahmoud Gazwan at the Wadi Bey checkpoint, a dusty outpost serving as a mobile base for his brigade of fighters.
There are signs of a growing Western urgency to stop Islamic State (ISIS), and Libyan commanders say Western weapons and air strikes will make a vital difference in the coming battle against their better-armed enemy.
But Western officials say just as important is the need for a united Libya government to request more aid and for the Libyan forces ranged against IS to bridge their own deep divisions.
Five years after Muammar Gaddafi's overthrow and death, Libya is caught in a slow-burn civil war between two rival governments, one in Tripoli and one in the east. Each is backed by competing alliances of former rebel brigades whose loyalties are often more to tribe, region or local commander.
Forces from the port city of Misrata - one of the most powerful military factions - have been on the front line of the battle against Islamic State since it took over Sirte a year ago and drew more foreign fighters to its ranks there.
Islamic State militants are also fighting in Benghazi to the east, shelling the oil ports of Ras Lanuf and Es Sider. On Tuesday they attacked further west in Sabratha city.
U.S. special forces have been holding meetings with potential Libyan allies. U.S. and French drones and British RAF jets are flying reconnaissance missions in preparation for action to help the local forces fighting Islamic State.
An air raid by U.S. special forces on Sabratha killed more than 40 Islamic State fighters last week, but there are no international plans to send combat ground troops into Libya.
Western governments are wary of large-scale military intervention but fear inaction may allow Islamic State to take deeper root.
A U.S. government source said the Obama Administration was pursuing a two-track policy. One is to try to knit competing factions into an effective government. The other track involves air strikes.  
"When you see an ISIL training camp and we see them doing push-ups and calisthenics every day, they're not there to lose weight," Brett McGurk, the U.S. envoy to the international coalition fighting Islamic State, also known as ISIL or Daesh, told White House reporters.
"They're there to train for something, and we're not going to let them do that."
CONVERGENCE OF FORCES?
U.S. and European officials say infighting between the rival administrations is blocking U.N. efforts to cajole them into a national government capable of rebuilding Libya's army.
Tripoli is held by a faction of Islamist-leaning brigades and Misrata fighters who took over the city in 2014 and drove out rivals. Misrata now backs the U.N. deal while some of the Tripoli political leadership is against it.
Libya's eastern government is backed by an alliance including the Libyan National Army led by former Gaddafi ally-turned rebel Gen. Khalifa Haftar, and a brigade controlling oil ports. Its ranks are split, including federalists looking for more autonomy for their eastern region.
The United Nations-backed presidential council is waiting for approval of its new government from the elected House of Representatives in the east.
Frustration is growing in Western capitals after repeated failures of the House to vote or reach a quorum to hold a ballot on the new government.
"We have always made clear the intention of providing assistance in fighting Daesh. We need to take action where we can, that requires forces on the ground that we can help and train," said one Western diplomat.
"Patience is very short with the House of Representatives."
Italy said on Monday it would let U.S. armed drones take off from its soil to defend U.S.-led forces against Islamic State.
French special forces and intelligence commandos are engaged in covert operations against IS in Libya in conjunction with the United States and Britain, the French newspaper Le Monde reported on Wednesday. The French defense ministry declined to comment.
During the recent fighting in Sabratha, there were signs of cooperation among forces from Zintan and Sabratha brigades who back opposing sides in the wider national conflict.
Mattia Toaldo, a Libya expert with the European Council on Foreign Relations, sees a convergence of forces who may agree on little but can work together against IS.
Misratan forces backed the new U.N.-supported government and could potentially work with rivals from Haftar's Libyan National Army and the oil guards, who are both aligned with the eastern government, Toaldo said.
"We are confident here we can win," says Mohamed al-Oreifi, one of the outpost commanders near the Sirte front line. "But we need support and new weapons."

Iran arrests father of jailed U.S. citizen: family

Reuters 
Handout photo of Iranian-American consultant Siamak Namazi pictured in San Francisco
.
View photo
Iranian-American consultant Siamak Namazi is pictured in this photo taken in San Francisco, California …
By Yeganeh Torbati
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Iranian authorities this week arrested the elderly father of an American jailed in Iran since October, the man's family said on Wednesday.
    Siamak Namazi, a dual U.S.-Iranian citizen, was detained by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in October while in Iran visiting family. Officials have yet to announce charges against him.
    Baquer Namazi, Siamak's father, was arrested late on Monday in Tehran, his wife Effie Namazi said in a Facebook post on Wednesday. The 80-year-old Namazi, also a dual Iranian-American citizen, was taken to Evin Prison, where his son is also being held, she said.
"Now both my innocent son Siamak and my Baquer are in prison for no reason. This is a nightmare I can't describe," Effie Namazi wrote in her post. "I am extremely concerned and worried sick for Baquer's health."
Baquer Namazi has a serious heart and other conditions which require special medication, she said.
    A former Iranian provincial governor and UNICEF official, Baquer Namazi was more recently running Hamyaran, an umbrella agency for Iranian nongovernmental organizations. His son Siamak was most recently working for Crescent Petroleum in the United Arab Emirates, and previously headed a consulting business in Iran.
Sam Werberg, press officer for the U.S. State Department's Office of Iranian Affairs, said it was aware of reports that a U.S. citizen had been detained in Iran, but could not comment further because of privacy considerations.
"The U.S. Department of State has no higher priority than the protection of U.S. citizens overseas," Werberg said. "We take our obligation to assist U.S. citizens abroad seriously."

Hungary to hold referendum on EU's plan for migrant quotas

Reuters 
Migrants walk along Hungary's border fence on the Serbian side of the border near Morahalom
.
View photo
Migrants walk along Hungary's border fence on the Serbian side of the border near Morahalom, Hungary, …
By Marton Dunai and Krisztina Than
BUDAPEST (Reuters) - Hungary will hold a referendum on European Union plans to create a system of mandatory quotas for migrants, an initiative that Hungary's government has rejected, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Wednesday.
Orban has used harsh anti-migrant rhetoric since the migrant crisis escalated last year and gained notoriety for erecting a steel fence along Hungary's southern border to keep out migrants - a policy now adopted by other Balkan countries.
He said the plebiscite, the first of its kind in Europe, would be a major test of European democracy.
The EU declined official comment, saying it was were trying to clarify what Orban was proposing.
Orban, who did not say when the vote might be held, has said the quotas would redraw the ethnic, cultural and religious map of Hungary and Europe. Under the plan, most EU nation would be obliged to accept a certain number of immigrants.
"Nobody has asked the European people so far whether they support, accept, or reject the mandatory migrant quotas," he said at a news conference.
"The government is responding to public sentiment now: we Hungarians think introducing resettlement quotas for migrants without the backing of the people equals an abuse of power."
Orban said he was aware of potential wider ramifications of such a referendum, especially if Hungarians say "No" to quotas.
"We had to think about the potential impact on European politics of such a proposal, but that was a secondary consideration," he said.
"To us this is a fundamental, unavoidable, essential question of Hungarian politics: can anyone else decide for Hungarians who we Hungarians should or should not live with?"
EU officials noted no date had been set for a vote and suggested Orban may be more concerned with heading off talks on future plans for a permanent EU system of asylum relocation. Holding a referendum to undo a temporary scheme agreed by EU ministers last year would disrupt those EU plans.
European Council President Donald Tusk warned in the EU parliament on Wednesday that any leader who blocked joint efforts to resolve the migration crisis could make it more likely Britons would vote to quit the bloc in a June referendum.
Political Capital Institute analyst Peter Kreko said: "All in all, we can see that Orban is in a winning position as long as he speaks about the migration issues, as it allows him to play the role of the defender of the nation.
"It is his interest to keep this issue on the agenda even until (elections in) 2018," Kreko said. That way, the referendum would eclipse such issues as education and healthcare. It would also pre-empt a political defeat for Orban if the European court rejects Hungary's suit against the quotas.

Ahead of election, Iran's leader warns of Western 'plot'

Reuters 
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei waves to the crowd in the holy city of Qom, south of Tehran
.
View photo
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei waves to the crowd in the holy city of Qom, 120 km (75 …
By Samia Nakhoul
TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's top leader warned voters on Wednesday the West was plotting to influence elections pitting centrists close to President Hassan Rouhani against conservative hardliners in a contest that could shape the Islamic Republic for years to come.
In remarks reflecting an abiding mistrust of Rouhani's rapprochement with the West, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said he was confident Iranians would vote in favor of keeping Iran's anti-Western stance on Friday in the first elections since last year's nuclear accord with world powers.
Rouhani's allies, who hope the deal will hasten Iran's opening up to the world after years of sanctions, have come under increasing pressure in the election campaign from hardliners who accuse them of links to Western powers including the United States and Britain.
Those accusations seek to tap into Iranians' wariness of Western motives and memories of a 1953 coup against nationalist prime minister Mohammad Mossadegh that was orchestrated by the United States and Britain and strengthened the Shah's rule.
Rouhani on Wednesday denied accusations from hardliners that the candidates close to him were affiliated with Western powers, calling it an insult to the intelligence of Iranians.
In remarks on his official website, Khamenei was quoted as saying he was certain the United States had concocted a plot after the nuclear deal to "infiltrate" the Islamic Republic.
"When I talked about a U.S. infiltration plot, it made some people in the country frustrated," said the Shi'ite clerical leader, who has final say on all major state policy in Iran.
"INFILTRATION"
"They complain (about) why we talk about infiltration all the time ... But this is a real plot. Sometimes even the infiltrators don't know they are a part of it," he said.
"One of the enemy's ruses is to portray a false dichotomy between a pro-government and anti-government parliament," Khamenei was quoted as saying by state news agency IRNA.
"The nation does not want a pro- or anti-government parliament, but rather a strong and faithful parliament that is aware of its duties and is not intimidated by the United States," he said at a rally in the city of Najafabad.
Supporters of Rouhani, buoyed by Iran's nuclear deal, aim to gain influence in the elections for the 290-seat parliament and the 88-member Assembly of Experts, which will choose the country's next supreme leader.
But potential detente with the West has alarmed hardliners, who have seen a flood of European trade and investment delegations arrive in Tehran to discuss possible deals in the wake of the nuclear agreement.
Since then, hardline security officials have arrested dozens of artists, journalists and businessmen, including Iranians holding joint U.S. or British citizenship, as part of a crackdown on "Western infiltration".
Rouhani had criticized the arrests before, saying some "play with the infiltration word" to pursue their own political goals.
Moves by hardliners to block moderate candidates and portray them as stooges of the West have soured the mood in the final days of campaigning, and Rouhani complained on Wednesday of a public discourse rife with "abuse, accusations and insults".
Addressing political activists, former president Hashemi Rafsanjani, one of Rouhani's most powerful allies, said Rouhani's election in 2013 "was Iranians’ first step to bring the country back to a path of moderation".
"I hope people take the second step in Friday’s elections," he said.
In an apparent reference to hardliners' accusations that moderates were under Western influence, Rafsanjani said in a statement published on ISNA news agency: "Labeling rivals, in order to turn people’s hopes into despair, has no results."
"The Iranians ... will prove that they are seeking Iran’s political independence and will say no to colonialism, extremism and tyranny."
Rouhani has called for a high turnout, even though half of the candidates, mostly moderates and reformists, were disqualified by a hardline watchdog body, the Guardian Council.
Rouhani's government signed a deal with six powers including the United States last July under which Iran curbed nuclear activities that might have been applied to developing atom bombs, and secured a lifting of economic sanctions in return.
(This version of the story adds a dropped words in paragraph one.)
(Additional reporting by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin and Sam Wilkin; Editing by William Maclean and Louise Ireland)

  South Korea's Yoon renews hopes for improved ties with Japan 8 Yoon Suk-yeol 1  / 17 South Korea Anniversary South Korea's Preside...